It's the good, the bad, and the ugly: Three scenarios for Iraq a year from now as its people take back the reins of their own affairs.
Scenario 1: The country is relatively stable, becoming more prosperous, and set on a forward path ahead of where Afghanistan is today. Oil is flowing. Insurgent attacks are down. The minority Sunnis and Kurds are quiescent and working within the new power structure. US troops are mostly unseen and bored on their bases.
![(Photograph)]("http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/0630/csmimg/p1a.jpg")
![""]("http://www.csmonitor.com/images/s.gif"){kind=small}
![]("http://www.csmonitor.com/images/emailThis.gif"){kind=small}
![]("http://www.csmonitor.com/images/write.gif"){kind=small}
![]("http://www.csmonitor.com/images/printer.gif"){kind=small}