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Analysis: What if Israel strikes Iran ? - -

By John Bolton

  • JUNE 11, 2009
  • What If Israel Strikes Iran?

    The mullahs would retaliate. But things would be much worse if they had the bomb.

    more in Opinion »

    Whatever the outcome of Iran's presidential election tomorrow, negotiations will not soon -- if ever -- put an end to its nuclear threat. And given Iran's determination to achieve deliverable nuclear weapons, speculation about a possible Israeli attack on its nuclear program will not only persist but grow.

    So what would such an attack look like? Obviously, Israel would need to consider many factors -- such as its timing and scope, Iran's increasing air defenses, the dispersion and hardening of its nuclear facilities, the potential international political costs, and Iran's "unpredictability." While not as menacingly irrational as North Korea, Iran's politico-military logic hardly compares to our NATO allies. Central to any Israeli decision is Iran's possible response.

    "[John David Klein

    I



        
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